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 Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house

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UncleFrank
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PostSubject: Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house   Sun Oct 17, 2010 5:17 pm


Rasmussen Predicts GOP Gain of 55 in House
by John Gizzi

10/16/2010



Newport Beach, Calif.—Nationally-recognized pollster Scott Rasmussen last night predicted that Republicans would gain 55 seats in races for the U.S. House of Representatives November 2—much more than the 39 needed for a Republican majority in the House for the first time since 2006.

But the man whose Rasmussen Reports polling is watched carefully by politicians and frequently quoted by the punditocracy said that whether Republicans gain the ten seats they need to take control of the Senate is in question.

“Republicans should have 48 seats [after the elections next month], Democrats 47, and five seats could slide either way,” said Rasmussen in his banquet address at the Western Conservative Political Action Conference. He was referring to seats in five states in which the Senate race this year he considers too close to call: California, Illinois, Washington, West Virginia, and Nevada (or “that mudwrestling contest,” as Rasmussen described the race between Republican Sharron Angle and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid).



In recent years, Rasmussen has gained widespread attention for being the first to forecast Scott Brown’s dramatic win in the special Massachusetts Senate race in January (the major networks never knew it was a competitive race until the weekend before the election) and the political vulnerability among Pennsylvania Republicans of Sen. Arlen Specter (who later switched to Democrat and lost his new party’s primary in May of this year).

Rasmussen also brought out some intriguing survey figures regarding the economy for the Western CPAC crowd at the Radisson Hotel here in Newport Beach.

Noting that the top three issues this election year are “one-the economy, two-the economy, and three-the economy,” Rasmussen said his polls show overwhelming support among voters nationwide for cutting spending, taxes, and the deficit.

“And by two-to-one, voters say they prefer a congressman who will reduce overall spending to one who promises to bring a ‘fair share’ of government spending to their congressional district,” the veteran pollster said, adding that a plurality of Texas voters backed Texas Gov. Rick Perry’s recent decision to turn down federal dollars a program because federal strings were attached to it.

The Republicans’ strong position three weeks before midterm elections began, Rasmussen recalled, “when every Republican [in the House] said they would oppose the stimulus package. That’s when the generic ballot [showing support for Republican and Democrat candidates nationwide] started to go up.” He also noted that support fell dramatically for the Democratic healthcare reform bill “when the CBO [Congressional Budget Office] figures showed it would cost more than a trillion dollars.
And support for it never recovered.”

Voter nervousness about the economy, Rasmussen noted, is clear in the declining number of people he finds who feel their own finances are “in good order.” Two years ago, he recalled, 43% of Americans felt their finances were in good order, 38% felt this way the day Barack Obama was elected, and 35% felt that way on the day he took office as President.

“At the beginning of the year, that figure dropped to 32%,” he added, “and today, it is down to 30%.” Rasmussen also said that more than half of homeowners are “unsure if their home is worth more than their mortgage.”

Noting how he periodically polls about different terms—conservative and liberal, for example—Rasmussen said that the term packing the most response is “tea party.”

“It generates the strongest reaction, both positive and negative, among voters,” he concluded, “It’s a defining force.”
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PostSubject: Re: Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house   Sun Oct 17, 2010 5:52 pm

It appears the Senate races are not going to give the Pubs a majority unless the remaining races that are in doubt actually go to the Pubs! However, the thing that has happened is the balance of power with the super majority belonging to the Demoncraps is out the window. They will do good to just have a simple majority of one or two more than the Pubs have. The huge advantage of power they had is gone now. they will not be able to bully the Pubs as they have since the last elections! I watch the following site daily and usually visit it more than once to try and see how the mood is changing!

[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]

It is showing the Senate at 49 seats going Demoncraps, 46 are Pubs and 5 are tossups! The race began showing the Demoncraps with a figure of 59 seats and they have dropped like a rock from there. Neat to watch the figures as they change form day to day!

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PostSubject: Re: Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house   Mon Oct 18, 2010 3:00 pm

I have been seeing the same thing. The people who voted for change, are not happy with the change they are not seeing. So if that 5% toss up goes to the Tea Party which I hope it does, we could see nancy dickbreath back in the minority.
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PostSubject: Re: Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house   Mon Oct 18, 2010 6:06 pm

I would like to see her back in Kornyfornication and out of the picture for good!!! They are reporting on teh national news this evening that up to 25% of Nobama's supporters are considering voting for the Pubs and Tea Party!!! That would be a nice change!! I am past ready!!

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PostSubject: Re: Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house   Tue Oct 19, 2010 12:58 pm

I just hope that it is enough to curb obamama's oushy attitude. He needs to be set down and punk slapped for the things he's done. He'll be blaming the Republicans for everything.
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PostSubject: Re: Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house   Thu Oct 21, 2010 3:53 pm

He already has and it is not flying! Can't blame George for anything anymore as it is on him now!!! LMAO!!! I think even the stupid ones that voted him in are seeing the light now! How could they not??

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PostSubject: Re: Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house   Thu Oct 21, 2010 5:12 pm

Thats what I've been reading, many are dis-illutioned and are voting for a differant change.
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PostSubject: Re: Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house   Thu Oct 21, 2010 6:54 pm

I gotta say that I feel any change at all has to be better than where we are now! I just don't think you could vote something in that would be worse than what is up there now!!! JMHO!!

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PostSubject: Re: Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house   Fri Oct 22, 2010 1:55 pm

We better hope so AO, but then again most of these clowns from both parties are from a differant generation. That to me is scary.
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PostSubject: Re: Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house   Sat Oct 23, 2010 7:07 am

RCP is showing the House to already be lockes up for the Pubs showing 215 Pubs and only 216 needed for teh misple majority! It is looking good. The Senate is showing 48 Dems, 45 Pubs and 7 that are tossups! Kiss that Super Majority crap goodbye!!!!

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PostSubject: Re: Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house   Sat Oct 23, 2010 3:15 pm

Here's hoping they are going to kiss their rearends goodbye. LMAO
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PostSubject: Re: Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house   Sat Oct 23, 2010 10:59 pm

It would be really fantastic if the Senate would turn the tossups to the Pubs and both the Senate and House went to a simple majority of Pubs!! How great could that be!!!!!

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PostSubject: Re: Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house   Sun Oct 24, 2010 3:10 am

I'm praying.
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PostSubject: Re: Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house   Sun Oct 24, 2010 6:12 am

9 more days left until we find out if the folks have pulled their heads form their arses!!!

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PostSubject: Re: Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house   Sun Oct 24, 2010 10:04 am

I'm not sure they know how to do that. They have been like that for so long that muscle memory will automatically put their heads right back up again. LOL
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PostSubject: Re: Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house   Sun Oct 24, 2010 10:41 am

That is what I am afraid of! I hope truly that we can get this thing corrected and on the right track for once! We got to stop spending more than we bring in and we need to reduce the debt level we have! I am not smart enough to have all the answers but it has got to happen or we will have nothing left at all! I always was taught to take care of your own first and then if there was something you could spare to be generous enough to share it with others. right now, we cannot take care of our own and we need to pull in our horns and take care of business within our borders before we go off all over the world trying to free evereyone else! It is time to do right by our own!

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PostSubject: Re: Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house   Sun Oct 24, 2010 2:34 pm

I whole heartedly agree with you. We are spread so thin that you can see right through us. This stuff has got to stop now. If the libtards want to help the world let them use their own money.
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PostSubject: Re: Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house   Sun Oct 24, 2010 6:38 pm

It just makes no sense that the veery people that help build this antion into what it is today are the ones that are being short changed by us spending all our money, all our kids money and all our Gkids money to do stuff all over the world and cannot even take care of the ones that paid the price in front of us! I am sorry but I do not understand that at all. I have paid in to SS all these years and I will get to start drawing it in just a little over two more years. That is if ther eis anything left to draw and if it has not all been spent on something else and they make me wait until I turn 67 or later!!! that just sucks that they are able to do that!

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PostSubject: Re: Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house   Mon Oct 25, 2010 1:41 pm

Makes one sick to see how both parties have stolen our retirement, and now force healthcare on us that we wont be able to benefit by.
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PostSubject: Re: Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house   Mon Oct 25, 2010 4:22 pm

Oh well! I have no intention of retiring! I do not want to retire! I am having too much fun to quit what I do now anyway! Where else on a daily basis can you fight with IRS and not be afraid of what they tell you they can do !!! LMAO!! And then go to the office and help people with problems they cannot solve on their own!!! I enjoy what I do and have no intention of quitting as long as I can get up in the morning and make it to the office and courthouse! I love my job!!!

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PostSubject: Re: Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house   Mon Oct 25, 2010 4:42 pm

That will probably take you into your ninety's. It's a good healthy thing to love your job and to continue after retirement age. Good for you.
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PostSubject: Re: Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house   Mon Oct 25, 2010 5:25 pm

It has only been in the last very few years that I have been able to wreck havoc with the gov folks I have to deal with! I woud be foolish to walk away from that! As long as I am able to walk and talk they will not be so lucky as to get rid of me!!! It is a pure pleasure to be able to deal them fits in return for so many years when I could do nothing but tolerate it from so many different angles! Life's good!!

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PostSubject: Re: Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house   Mon Oct 25, 2010 5:29 pm

Again good for you and good for the little people. I'm proud to be affiliated with you.
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PostSubject: Re: Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house   Mon Oct 25, 2010 5:42 pm

It just keeps getting better!! I continue to say it is a good day when I can get up and get out of bed and get to the office. There are so many things going on I have trouble keeping up with them and making sure everyone gets taken care of in the right manner! Good help makes sure of most of it for me and they just make me look good when it is really them doing all the grunt work that enables me to look good in front of the judge! Good help is hard to find anymore!!! Wifey and daughter that is the other attorney in the office really do a great job making me look great when the time comes!

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EXPERIENCE IS WHAT YOU GET WHEN YOU DON'T GET WHAT YOU WANTED!

There are only two defining forces that have ever offered to die for you!
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PostSubject: Re: Prediction; GOP gain of 55 in house   Mon Oct 25, 2010 5:55 pm

A general is only as good as the men in his command.
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